Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 2.994104 3.403132 3.837293 4.331355 4.876871 5.459659 6.128203
2024-12-15 2.366359 2.955733 3.629383 4.451157 5.421061 6.523720 7.866146
2024-12-22 1.879389 2.558890 3.388998 4.465099 5.809346 7.418582 9.474649
2024-12-29 1.600342 2.350892 3.322293 4.648088 6.383928 8.550811 11.427849
2025-01-05 1.374091 2.164710 3.243050 4.783732 6.885278 9.604519 13.333976
2025-01-12 1.143970 1.930368 3.058897 4.743037 7.129917 10.322010 14.830832
2025-01-19 0.996417 1.789533 2.980749 4.827860 7.533943 11.256389 16.646653
2025-01-26 0.870577 1.660190 2.898647 4.889075 7.895624 12.138943 18.422678
2025-02-02 0.769082 1.553125 2.834183 4.962832 8.269601 13.046616 20.264586
2025-02-09 0.667035 1.428098 2.723955 4.949651 8.503584 13.755030 21.845099
2025-02-16 0.570081 1.295888 2.584454 4.871987 8.625063 14.294471 23.193750
2025-02-23 0.505281 1.213328 2.518794 4.905661 8.916454 15.093000 24.947146
2025-03-02 0.437160 1.115407 2.418715 4.878610 9.118821 15.782903 26.597580
2025-03-09 0.394561 1.063421 2.397008 4.985512 9.547559 16.844503 28.860430
2025-03-16 0.345452 0.988380 2.322267 4.989589 9.801622 17.640775 30.746466
2025-03-23 0.321992 0.967658 2.351256 5.184950 10.392996 19.000919 33.563828
2025-03-30 0.296130 0.936428 2.354797 5.331038 10.904210 20.249676 36.248047
2025-04-06 0.257004 0.864245 2.263710 5.285489 11.068735 20.930272 38.043323
2025-04-13 0.233368 0.827612 2.244228 5.377774 11.485299 22.045581 40.578097
2025-04-20 0.210533 0.788407 2.213980 5.444481 11.855999 23.094930 43.036925
2025-04-27 0.191069 0.754676 2.191894 5.524995 12.254783 24.205142 45.629887
2025-05-04 0.168303 0.705799 2.127820 5.510549 12.469549 25.001054 47.719297
2025-05-11 0.144763 0.648449 2.035344 5.425649 12.540297 25.542670 49.391788